“Just wait,” optimists said after Toronto’s transit planning took a sharp turn into the ditch under Rob Ford. “There’s an election coming up, and then we’ll get some new ideas, new plans and new funding models that weren’t hastily written on the back of a Steak Queen napkin.”
Now here we are! It’s an election year. There are serious and respected candidates vying for the key to the mayor’s office. They can’t wait to literally get people moving, though they’ll probably want to steam clean the carpets first.
At the provincial level, all three party leaders are talking about how important transit is to the city and its future success. We can finally get passed the debacle of the last four years, when one transit plan replaced another, which replaced another, which replaced another.
So let’s take a look at the offerings. I have my biases, but don’t worry. It’s easy to be non-partisan in assessing each of the players’ positions because there’s something awful about each of them.
First, there’s Rob “Subways, Subways, Subways” Ford. The incumbent continues to fight a) the scourge of municipal gravy and b) to keep taxes low by a) wasting money on a subway in the suburbs, where light rail will continue to make more sense for decades and decades to come, and b) raising taxes to do so. Ford wants to put a subway in Scarborough, followed by a line along Finch Avenue. At some point he’ll get to work on the “Downtown Relief Line” that will, despite the name, primarily serve folks in the inner suburbs commuting into the core. Ford hasn’t said how he’ll pay for these additional lines, probably because he has no idea. Bobbleheads, maybe?
Oh, and Ford’s “Scarborough subway” is really just a three-stop extension of the existing Bloor-Danforth line, will replace the existing Scarborough RT, and won’t add to the existing capacity of the city’s transit system.
But that’s Ford, the plucky village idiot who defied the odds to become a terrible mayor. What of Ford’s grown-up challengers? The competition’s taken the transit debate to the op-ed pages of the Toronto Star and the Toronto Sun to stake out their positions with bold, definitive, actionable plans to ask others for the money.
Olivia Chow takes to the Toronto Star to ask that the provincial government
spell out a finance plan for Metrolinx and the TTC, including a viable plan to finance the new relief line. Senior levels of government keep the lion’s share of taxes paid by our city (92 cents of every dollar). They have a responsibility to invest in important priorities, just as the city has a responsibility to propose the right ones.
So basically, the province should pay. No mention of new taxes or other sources of revenue from the left-leaning champion of the little guy, although Chow would like to save some cash by cancelling the Scarborough subway extension and going back to a light-rail solution. To be fair, she’s right about the taxing power of the higher levels of government.
John Tory wants to keep building the Scarborough subway, rather than revisit the above-ground/underground debate. In the pages of the Toronto Sun, Tory cites the example of former provincial Premier Bill Davis supporting the Spadina subway line back in the ’70s and says that “…. where there is a will there is a way, and we should be using all of our energy to speed up completion of a [Downtown Relief Line].” I guess this means the province should pay, too? Yep. Tory’s told the National Post that “I think it would be an abdication of responsibility for [upper levels of government] not to assist us in what is identified by their experts and ours, and by people who travel each day, as the number one project.” Again, the province (and the feds) hold the purse strings, so he’s not wrong. But just saying a can-do spirit will get us there is doesn’t do much.
The mayoral landscape’s enough to make a rush hour commuter cry on the shoulder of the person next to them. And there’s no where else to cry, people are packed in so tightly.
But good news! Like a knight in shining armour, the provincial government is riding to Toronto’s rescue. And a knight on horseback is a apt metaphor, because riding the TTC would take too long and probably involve delays due to signalling issues or something.
Premier Kathleen Wynne has announced that the province will spend $29 billion over the next decade on transit, and that just over half will be spent in the Toronto-Hamilton sprawl-opolis. Specifics are to come in the upcoming provincial budget, but it’s good to hear the Liberals are going to pony up and spend some serious coin on transit.
Wynne’s been serious about transit since becoming premier last year, and she’s sought solid, expert advice. Now that it’s time for action, the premier’s boldly taking on the challenge by looking at that advice and all but ignoring it.
There’s also a huge provincial deficit to contend with, though, so while Wynne says there won’t be an increase in the gas tax or on the middle class, it’s not clear where the money’s to come from. Maybe there’s a gas-plant-cancellation contingency fund the Liberals can use.
Not that Wynne has all that much leeway, mind you. She’s leading a minority government, which could fall if she isn’t supported come budget time by one of the opposition parties. So if the Liberal government loses the confidence of the legislature and there’s an election, we could end up with a Premier Hudak or Premier Horwath transit funding plan.
Except neither one of them has a plan. Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak would carve out transit funding from existing revenues, presumably with some form of black magic. The NDP’s Andrea Horwath won’t countenance any new taxes for transit if they “hit middle class families.” I.e., Make the rich and corporations pay. Their plans are about as well thought out as Ford’s.
Not all’s doom and gloom in the Big Smoke. The reason we’re in such a desperate state of transit affairs? Toronto’s continued economic growth. People want to move here for jobs, for the quality of life, for the culture, etc., so that’s good. Just don’t expect your commute to get any easier unless you move to, say, Singapore.